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in 2003


   

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ECITE: European Conference on Information Technology Evaluation

Social Factors and the Adoption of Electronic Grocery Systems (EGS) – The Australian Experience
Clare Lewis, Deborah Bunker and Farhad Daneshgar, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia, d.bunker@unsw.edu.au
; f.danesghar@unsw.edu.au

   
1.         Introduction

Online shopping is a relatively recent phenomenon, giving consumers the opportunity to perform at least one aspect of the buying process online. It is important for businesses to understand the motivations of consumers to enable them to target those motives in order to expand and maximise their share of this market. 

Since the late 1990s, many companies in a range of countries, have attempted to establish online grocery stores, however a large percentage experienced only very short lifespans. Despite this, the potential market for online replenishment of grocery supplies lures both startup and traditional grocers.

A number of studies have analysed electronic commerce by looking at business models, delivery methods and availability of services. From a consumer perspective, aspects covered have included privacy, risk, usability and accessibility. These technologically driven frameworks are in place for widespread consumer adoption, however past adoption case studies have shown that technological superiority alone will not ensure the successful adoption of a new service.

This study further develops our view on the adoption of electronic commerce by looking at the role that social factors play in a consumer's decision to adopt an online shopping service. In order to provide a more meaningful analysis, the focus of this study is on the Australian electronic grocery shopping (EGS) industry.

Online shopping is a relatively recent phenomenon, giving consumers the opportunity to perform at least one aspect of the buying process online. The business-to-consumer (B2C) sector of the online market was worth $1.98bn in 2001 (Ahn et al 2001) and continues to grow. It is important for businesses to understand the motivations of consumers to enable them to target those motives in order to expand and maximise their share of this market.

Electronic grocery shopping has been defined as shopping when at least part of the transaction is started electronically via third party services or the Internet, but paying and logistics are not necessarily performed digitally (Anderson & Henrikson, 2000). This definition has been used in the study to identify EGS services.

2.         Current state of EGS in Australia

To date, the success of EGS has been fairly limited. In Australia, a number of companies have attempted to implement a range of business models online. These companies include those with a presence in the traditional grocery marketplace, such as Woolworths and Coles, for whom the online option is an additional service, and also Internet start-ups, such as GreenGrocer.com and ShopFast, who operate solely online.

Despite enthusiasm from these businesses, there has been unwillingness from the consumer to purchase groceries online, particularly when compared with other areas of electronic commerce. A survey from 1999, conducted by Fast Company, revealed "significant attitudinal barriers" (Kirsner, 1999) to buying groceries online.

By obtaining the social demographics that define each group, the target market and most potentially profitable group may be identified, and decisions made about the future markets for electronic grocery shopping. This study is taken entirely from the point of view of the consumer. Advantages and disadvantages of EGS for the retailer are beyond the scope of this research.

3.         Research focus

There are a number of streams of research that are relevant to this study. These include those addressing the patterns of consumers with respect to traditional grocery shopping formats, as well as innovation diffusion research (Rogers, 1983, Antonides et al 1999, Vrechopoulos et al 2000, Bain 1999, Plouffe et al 2000, Tepper-Tian et al 2001, Henderson et al.1998, Deutsch et al. 2001). The importance of diffusion research to this study is that it can be used to look at the consumer's perception of the social factors in the adoption of an innovation, and the affect that this will have on their adoption inclination, specifically addressing factors that influence consumer adoption of online shopping.

There is also a body of knowledge that has examined different consumer motivations for adoption of an EGS system (Mathwick et al 2001, Puhakainen 2001, Ahola et al 2000, Ahn et al 2001, Raijas 2002, Geuens et al 2001).

This study also attempts to identify the importance of social factors (Tauber 1972, Dembeck 1999, Puhakainen 2001, Kahn & McAlister 1997, Dahl at al 2001, Burke 1997, Bunker & MacGregor 2000) in such a decision and therefore incorporates aspects of each of these different areas.

Merchants must create a 'marketspace' in which customers can interact with the company and each other, exchange information and purchase products or services to succeed in an online environment.

As the demographics of contemporary Australian society change, so do the consumer patterns. The mounting average age of consumers increases the need for more convenience in grocery shopping. EGS provides this convenience by enabling consumers to order groceries from home and to have the groceries subsequently delivered at home.

3.1       Differing priorities for consumer groups

Studies have shown that individual differences are associated with the acceptance of new information technology and also new forms of retail marketing and shopping (Crisp et al. 1997, Deutsch et al 2001). Consumer lifestyle relates to how people live, how they spend their money, and how they allocate their time. These factors will all affect the consumer's consumption of groceries, and the relative importance of social factors to their adoption decision.

As identified before, there are several different recognized criteria for defining groups of consumers. Traditional shopping literature defines two groups: goal-oriented and experiential customers. Innovation literature distinguishes consumers based on a timeline of adoption (Rogers, 1995), and other studies related to electronic commerce have developed methods based on socio demographic details and familiarity with technology (Deutsch et al 2001).

Social demographics have been identified as affecting intentions towards Internet shopping (Crisp et al 1997, Bain 1999). Factors include prior Internet experience, attitudes towards computers, age, household size, and frequency of shopping via direct marketing channel, gender and income, factors influencing household food inventories and time availability and the number of household’s employed members. The study by Citrin et al. (2000) indicated that Internet usage (for reasons other than shopping) and domain-specific innovativeness, have a direct influence on consumers' adoption of Internet shopping.

4.         Research methodology

The first stage of this project was an interview with the Managing Director of a major online retail shopping division of a company that also has a major “bricks & mortar” presence in the marketplace. This interview was conducted to gain insight into the factors that current members of the online shopping industry see as important to their customers, and to use these factors in the construction of the next stage of the data collection process.

The second stage was the pilot of a questionnaire to a small number of prospective EGS customers and the third stage was the administration of the questionnaire to a representative sample of prospective and actual users of online shopping services.

4.1       Interview

The main focus of the interview was to determine the type of consumers that were attracted to online shopping, and the type of products that these consumers are prepared to buy. Results from the interview confirmed that a number of items that had been identified by past studies as potentially influential, were significant factors in the online shopping industry.

The findings included confirmation that the online shopping market is no longer the exclusive domain of young, affluent males. The Managing Director who was interviewed works for an organization that markets its service at essentially the same market as its the traditional “bricks and mortar” stores. This has proved to be a successful strategy, both for the online and traditional business.

The organization also identified that distance to a shop will not necessarily correlate with inclination to shop online. Many of the online customers have been shown to live in close physical proximity to one of their retail stores.

The organization has found that some of the most successful goods sold online have included food items packaged as gifts. Other popular items include replenishment goods, and bulky purchases that may require extensive effort to transport. The number of different product lines available online is increasing to include items that do not fall into these categories. However, this criteria fits closely with the attributes of groceries, excluding fresh produce items which generally require a greater degree of involvement from the consumer.

This online store has considered the idea of selling fresh food and groceries through their site, but have declined to put it into practice at this stage due to back-end systems requirements (optimal levels of inventory and appropriate conditions for storage and transport).

Other topics covered included confirmation that return customers are extremely important for online stores, especially in the long term. One issue that had not previously been considered in depth was that of customer service facilities. The interview revealed that customers of the online store seemed to be quite happy to use the email facility on the site for customer service.

4.2       Research questionnaire

4.2.1   The pilot study

The pilot study took place in late 2002, and was made up of two main sequential stages. The first was a preliminary analysis where confusing or difficult questions within the questionnaire were identified and modified. The second was the administration of the questionnaire to a small sample of participants.

The sample used in the pilot was composed of ten individuals, with a number of common demographics. All respondents were female, employed and had Internet access from their workplace. By selecting this group, the pilot was easily controlled and emphasis could be placed on the frame of the questionnaire and interpretation of results, rather than on the results themselves. The aim of this pilot was to assess and refine the construction of the questionnaire, and at the same time trial methods of analysing the responses.

The data collected was made up of three types; demographic characteristics, orientation to the environment, and reported behaviour. The demographic information allowed the classification of respondents into the sociological categories previously identified. Orientation refers to individual's perceptions, knowledge and attitudes towards the world. Orientation items made up the body of the questionnaire and assessed the relative weightings consumers gave to the issues being addressed. These findings were analysed against the reported behaviour. The reported behaviour questions were those relating to objective measures of individual's previous experiences, such as whether or not they had purchased goods or services online.

The majority of items are presented in the form of seven point Likert scales. This format for input allows respondents to state the relative strength of their opinions on a number of issues, allowing easy comparison between respondents. For a similar reason, almost all items are closed in design, with a limited variability of responses.

4.2.2   The survey

Variables measured

The items in the final questionnaire measured a number of variables identified through the background literature as potentially influential to consumers with respect to their inclination to adopt EGS (Table 1). The questionnaire has been presented in full in Appendix A.

The operationalisation of the concepts brought up in the literature review into these variables was based on a number of criteria. Each item in the questionnaire was selected as being part of one of two groups. The first group consisted of items that had been shown to be influential in adoption of online shopping in general, and in this case were assessed as to their applicability to EGS. The second group consisted of factors which had been shown to be influential in the purchasing behaviour of consumers in supermarkets and other grocery store formats, and in this study were assessed as to their applicability to the online format. These items were then grouped with a number of other items in the same area. This grouping helped to provide a more meaningful analysis of the data collected.

Control Variables

Items that were found to be influential in the innovation adoption decision by a previous adoption study, were incorporated into the questionnaire as control variables. These items were positively correlated with electronic grocery shopping and are highlighted in a study from the Netherlands by Verhoef & Langerak (2001). The purpose of these variables was to assess the influence on adoption inclination for the respondents in this sample and provide a guide as to the generalisability of the results.

Sample Description

The sampling strategy used in this study was based on two main criteria, relevance and convenience. Relevance relates to the methodology being used, and convenience relates to the time restrictions of the study. It was desired that potential EGS consumers would complete the questionnaires. Participants for this study were solicited from two main sources. The first of these were students at the University of New South Wales. The second was the general population. Students at the University were easily accessible and by using both undergraduate and postgraduate classes, the diversity of demographics was maximized as much as possible. The sampling of consumers from the general population, in this case the suburbs of Sydney, was intended to expand the demographics and was located to target grocery consumers.

A total of one hundred and thirty (130) responses to the questionnaire were received, however four of these were unusable due to significant item omissions, leaving 126 usable responses, of these 73 were UNSW students.

Data Collection Procedure

The procedure for the collection of this data took two main forms. The first of these, for the participants from UNSW, involved approaching School of Information Systems, Technology and Management lecturing staff and explaining to them the study that was being carried out. They were asked if it would be possible to give a brief questionnaire to their students as part of this study.

Upon approval, students were informed that the study was taking place within the SISTM faculty, and were given the questionnaire to complete immediately. The questionnaire was then collected, once completed, within several minutes.

The other method of soliciting participants was to approach consumers outside their local shopping centre and explain the study, the fact that it was endorsed by UNSW, and to ask whether they would mind completing a brief questionnaire. Again the questionnaires were completed and collected immediately. This method of sampling proved to be less successful in terms of response rate, as the acceptance rate was only approximately 20% (15 out of 70 approached). Due to time constraints with the study, two extra postgraduate classes from UNSW were included in the sample. It was hoped that the postgraduate students would represent a wider ranging demographic than the undergraduate classes. As well as this, acquaintances of the researcher were included in the sample, once again, to bring greater diversity to the demographics included in the sample.

No incentives were offered to any of the groups. The questionnaires were anonymous and the items designed to be impersonal, so confidentiality did not present any problems. Because the questionnaires were all completed on the spot, some issues that would normally arise out of survey methods, such as response rate to distributed questionnaires, are not relevant to this study.

5.         Data analysis

Due to the exploratory nature of this study, the aim of this analysis was not to confirm or eliminate hypotheses, but rather to identify potential relationships between variables that have been suggested by background research to this study.

A number of methods were used to analyse the data that was collected from these questionnaires. The social factors under examination were looked at in terms of the priority they were given by the consumers, and also by the different consumers allocating the priorities. The factors were looked at not only as a collective group, but also as individual aspects of the same issue.

Reliability was assessed through calculation of Cronbach’s alpha, and items in the questionnaire were subjected to correlation analysis to determine consistency. The items that were shown to have a significant relationship with intention to adopt then underwent regression analysis to determine the relative influence of each of the factors.

5.1       Categorisation of respondents – Previous adoption behaviour

Data was analysed to show 3 obvious groups of adopters. The first consumer group was made up of individuals who have neither researched, nor purchased goods nor services online. The second consumer group is made up of individuals who have researched, but not made purchases online. The third group consists of those respondents who have purchased online. The breakdown of these groups is shown in Table 2.

Table 2: Percentage of respondents who visit online stores

Online experience variable Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 All
Researched purchases online 0% 100% 95.00% 80.20%
Purchased online 0% 0% 100.00% 52.40%
N 22 38 66 126
Percent 19% 31% 50% 100%

By comparing the overall adoption intention ratings with the adopter group for each respondent, it can be seen that the adopter categories are relatively good predictors for adoption intention.

Figure 1 shows the levels of adoption intention for each adopter group. It can be seen that the peaks of each distribution are relative to the predicted innovativeness of each group. The respondents rated their intention on a scale from 1 (will definitely adopt) to 7 (will definitely not adopt). Group 1 peaks at the value for those least inclined (strongly disagree that they will use an EGS in the future), whereas Group 3 peaks on the positive side of the scale, and Group 2 at the neutral value.

 

Figure 1: Group vs. Inclination

While this is an intuitive analysis, an assessment of the correlation between the two factors provides a more technical confirmation of this finding, and is detailed in Table 3

Table 3: Correlation between Item 31 and Group

The strong negative correlation (r=-0.343) shows that the higher the number of the group to which the individual belongs (the greater the individual’s online experience), the more likely they are to have a favorable adoption intention rating.

The significance level in this analysis is representative of the likelihood that the two items measured are independent of each other. The lower the significance value, the less likely it is that the two items are independent. The figures show that past adoption behaviour, in this case, is a fairly good indicator of future intention to adopt EGS.

The next step in this process was to identify the demographics that make up each of these adopter groups, and then determine the relative strength of the relationship between the groups and the priority given to social factors in adoption inclination, by consumers.

Table 4 details the socio-demographics of each adopter group. A number of interesting observations can be made from this table. The first of these is that neither age nor gender, appear to have influence over the classification of respondents into adopter groups. While age varies very slightly over the different groups, the percentage of males and females is almost exactly equal in all three groups (and is equal in two out of the three).

Differentiation based on employment showed that Group 1 was under represented in the Part-time and Full-time categories. Those in Group 2, and even more noticeably, Group 3, were more likely to be employed on a Part-time or Full-time basis. Group 1 has a disproportionate amount of the highest spending consumers ($200 or more per week), with Group 2 containing the largest proportion of lowest spending consumers (less than $50 per week).

Despite these small fluctuations, it would appear that the demographic variables are not strongly linked to the classification of adopter groups.

Table 4: Demographic characteristics by adopter category

 

* Totals do not add up to 100.00% due to rounding of components

5.2       Sense of community (Items 13, 14, 15, 16)

Four items in the questionnaire were used to measure the priority that consumers gave to the sense of community, and personal interaction, in the grocery shopping experience, and the relative importance of these factors in overall EGS adoption inclination. Table 5 presents the correlation between these four items.

Table 5: Correlations between Items 13, 14, 15 and 16

 

By calculating the correlations between the community aspect items, it can be seen that each item has a significant relationship with at least one of the other items. This is a good indication of the internal consistency of this factor.

As well as comparing the relationship between these variables, the relationship with overall intention to adopt EGS (Item 31) was examined. Only items 14 and 15 had significant correlations with adoption intention, showing that both a consumer’s willingness to use self check-out facilities in a supermarket, and their awareness of other consumers looking at their purchases, were possible predictors of EGS adoption intention. Items 15 and 16 are related in terms of the content that they are examining. It is shown by the correlation between 15 and 31, that those individuals who are aware of others perceptions are more likely to express intention to adopt an online service, however by the responses to Item 16, they do not believe that this is a direct cause of intention to adopt. This may be because Item 16 is not the direct link with intention to adopt, but rather is linked to another factor which is more significant in the decision. Another reason may be that individuals are unwilling to admit that other people’s perception of their purchases would induce them to make their purchases online.

The items that were deemed not to have a significant correlation with overall adoption intention were not used in the regression analysis. The correlation between items 14, 15 and 31 is detailed in Table 6. These were the significant influences in the community factor.

Table 6: Correlations between Items 14, 15 and 31

The responses to Item 15 reveal an interesting statistic. The correlation between Item 15 and Item 31 (overall adoption intention) gives r=.209. This correlation comes largely from one end of the response scale. 100% of the individuals who strongly agree with the statement ‘I am aware of other people looking at what is in my trolley when I am shopping’, will have either a neutral or positive intention to adopt EGS. Of those who do not show agreement with the statement, there is a wide range of adoption ratings, indicating that the relationship does not work both ways. This may be an indication that awareness of others is a factor in the adoption decision, but different factors will be important for different consumers.

5.3       Perception of innovators (Items 22, 23, 24, 25 and 26)

The correlations in this factor are detailed in Table 7.

Table 7: Correlations between Items 22, 23, 24, 25 and 26

A large degree of ambivalence was shown towards inclination to be the first to adopt a new service (Item 22), with 27% (34 out of 126) of individuals choosing the neutral value on the response scale. The responses are detailed in Table 8. It is not surprising that those who have indicated responses towards the higher end of the scale for this question (disagreement with the importance of early adoption), have indicated low levels of adoption intention towards EGS, and is confirmed by the correlation between the two factors (r=0.253, see Table 12).

Table 8: Cross tabulations between Items 22 and 31

Item 23 deals with the likelihood of consumers sharing their positive experiences of online shopping with others. The following table (9) shows a high percentage indication of intention to share such experiences.

Table 9: Cross tabulation between Items 23 and 31

The cross tabulation with overall adoption intention shows that those who are more likely to tell others of their experiences are more inclined to adopt the service in the first place. This confirms some previous innovation studies research, which identified that some consumers would rush to be the initial adopters of an innovation, largely so that they could tell others about it and be seen to be leaders in technology adoption.

Item 24 (Table 10) looks at the same issue from the other side of the communication process, whether or not consumers would adopt or trial a service, on the recommendation of someone they know. Unsurprisingly, those who indicate that they would not, are also shown to have low adoption intentions anyway. There is a high level of correlation between a positive response to this question and a positive adoption intention.

Table 10: Cross tabulation between Items 24 and 31

The responses to Item 25 (Table 11) imply that the majority of individuals show that they do not perceive negative peer opinion concerning the adoption of an online grocery service, or they do not worry about a negative opinion. This perception does not seem to have an affect on intention to adopt.

Table 11: Cross tabulation between Items 25 and 31

Item 26 which directly asked respondents whether peer opinion would influence their decision to adopt EGS was answered overwhelmingly in the negative, and was not shown to significantly affect adoption inclination, and was not included in Table 12 for this reason.

By looking at the patterns in the adoption variable responses in the following graph (Figure 2), a number of issues emerge.

Figure 2: Adoption variable correlations

Items 25 and 26 have remarkably similar distributions. Since these items are measuring different aspects of the same issue, some consistency can be seen in the individual responses. The responses to questions 22, 23, and 24 have approximately similar distributions. These items relate to inclination to try a new service, and the impact of peer encouragement.

Table 12 details the correlation between items related to perception of innovators that have a significant relationship with adoption inclination.

Table 12: Correlations between Items 22, 23, 24 and 31

5.4       Shopping enjoyment (Items 17, 18, 19, 27, 28, 29 and 30)

Six items combined to measure the relationship between consumer’s enjoyment from shopping, and their inclination to adopt EGS. A range of strengths was found amongst these items that measured different aspects of this issue.

Difficulty with transportation of bought groceries (Item 19) positively but weakly, correlates with inclination to adopt EGS, however it remains that the majority of consumers sampled do not consider the transportation of their goods a major issue. This may be due to the sample being overly represented in the younger age categories. It may be found that the importance of this factor would increase with an aging population. The reason that this item does not correlate strongly with inclination to adopt is that there is not an overall pattern in the responses. It is only a small group of respondents for whom there is a relationship between these variables. The correlation values are included in Table 13. Item 19 does not appear to have a strong relationship with any of the other items being measured.

All the inter correlations between items in the shopping enjoyment group are presented as some interesting relationships become apparent, outside of the significant relationships with EGS adoption inclination. The strongest correlation is between consumers perception of advantageous customer service online (r=0.414), measured by Item 29, and their overall adoption inclination, and consumers perception of the influence of customer service online (r=0.535, Item 30) and overall adoption inclination.

The other item with a significant correlation to adoption inclination was Item 27 that assessed consumer’s trust in online grocer’s to provide them with quality fresh foods. This relationship produced a strong positive correlation (r=0.378), indicating that consumer’s who perceive online grocers as delivering quality fresh foods are more likely to have a favorable adoption intention than those consumers who do not.

Those consumers that do not enjoy the social aspects of the traditional grocery shopping experience, or those that have difficulty completing such a task have been shown to have a higher probability of inclination to adopt EGS.

Table 13: Correlation between Items 17, 18, 19, 27, 28, 29 and 31

5.5       Control variables (Items 20 and 21)

The control variables, items adopted from those used by Verhoef & Langerak (2001) in their study concerning consumer intentions in the Netherlands, were used to assess the consistency of this study’s results with other studies in the same area, using different samples (Table 14). These items were not standalone, in that they were not only included for the purpose of control. They were also items seen to be potential factors in a consumer’s EGS adoption decision.

Table 14: Correlation between Items 20, 21 and 31

The majority of respondents indicated that they usually found themselves “pressed for time” (Item 21). Therefore, amongst those who felt time management is an issue, there was a large spread of adoption intention towards EGS. For those however, whom did not indicate that they had trouble with time, there was a large swing towards non-adoption of an online grocery service. This may indicate that time efficiency is one factor that would influence a consumer to adopt an EGS, but that there are a number of other factors that would also need to be taken into consideration.

Item 22, which questioned the individual’s willingness to pay extra to use an EGS was shown to be a strong indicator of future intention to adopt (r=0.547). This suggests that many of those who are looking at adopting such a system are those who dislike, or are inconvenienced by, grocery shopping, in ways other than price.

5.6       Regression analysis

Regression analysis was used to determine the relative influence of factors that were shown to have significant correlations with adoption intention. Overall, the factors examined in the questionnaire were calculated to account for 58% of the variance in adoption intention, however this variance was largely the result of a small core of factors.

The following table (15) demonstrates that nine of the eighteen measured items were shown to account for 56% of the variance. The items that were responsible for this influence represent a range of the issues being addressed, with a common theme throughout. The items were those numbered 14, 15, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 27 and 29, and the relative influence of each of these items is shown in Table 15. These items relate largely to the perception of other users, lifestyle, and perception of services currently available. The items that were found to not have a significant influence included most of those related to shopping enjoyment and reported influence of peer opinion.

Table 15: Regression analysis of significant items

The ANOVA Table (16) from this analysis shows the figures that were used to calculate the percentage influence that this group of factors had on the overall adoption intention (regression sum of squares value as a percentage of the total). Again, the significance value of the F statistic demonstrates that the variation explained by these items is not chance.

Table 16: ANOVA Table from regression analysis in Table 4-14

5.7       Overall adoption of EGS by respondents

The quantitative results from this study show that overall consumer intention to adopt EGS in the future is mixed. 31% of consumers envisage themselves as using EGS, 46% do not, while 23% remain unsure. This shows that EGS has moved from the initial stages of the adoption cycle, however, while the respondents showed that they saw themselves using such a service in the future, 76% had not used one up to this point. Almost half the sample responded negatively to the suggestion that EGS would become a part of their life. The respondents revealed that social factors have a role to play in their reluctance to adopt EGS.

5.7.1   Influence of Social Factors on EGS Adoption Inclination

The items in the questionnaire related to social factors combine to account for 58% of the variance in adoption intention as indicated by Table 15. This finding is consistent with the theory that the integration into the social system is equally, or more, important than technological superiority in the successful adoption strategy of an innovation. The significance value of F (0.00) shows that the variation explained by these items is not chance.

The three primary factors that were being measured by the questionnaire were sense of community, perception of innovators, and shopping enjoyment (as outlined in table 1). All were shown to have different priorities for the respondents. Unsurprisingly, sense of community was shown to exert relatively little influence in the online grocery domain, accounting for only 12% of the overall variance in adoption inclination. This may be related to the fact that groceries are a low involvement product (Verhoef & Langerak, 2001), and therefore, consumers are unlikely to require assistance from others in the buying process. Through the exploration of this factor, it was seen that, though many people do shop with members of their immediate social circle, this is not necessarily an important factor in their adoption decision. A small proportion of the sample showed an awareness of other shoppers looking at their purchases, and a significant relationship with positive inclination towards EGS, was shown by these consumers.

A significant relationship was found between a consumer’s willingness to use a self checkout facility and their inclination to adopt EGS. Each of these services represents a future direction for grocery shopping, both without interaction with a cashier. It would appear that for the consumers that favour these services, efficiency has a higher priority than social interaction.

Perception of innovators was shown to account for 28% of the variance. This included not only the respondent’s perception of other adopters, but also the reaction they expected towards themselves from their immediate social circle. The results showed that not only were consumers likely to share their online experiences with others, but that they would also listen to other experiences, and take them into consideration when making their own adoption decision. These findings are supported by the experiences of ShopFast in the Sydney area. ShopFast did no formal advertising for the first two years of its existence, relying solely on word of mouth for growth. From these results it would appear that respondents are not afraid that their peers would disapprove of EGS adoption.

The third factor, shopping enjoyment, accounted for 31.2% of the variance. This is in line with the studies that have shown grocery shopping to be perceived as a chore, and stronger responses were received in relation to the negative aspects of a traditional grocery-shopping trip, than the positive aspects. A particularly strong relationship was found between a consumer’s perception of online customer service, and their intention to use EGS in the future. This indicates that consumer service is an area that online retailers should focus on as, by ensuring the quality of consumer service, the patronage of the online shopping community is encouraged. The benefit of a strong customer service section was supported by the experiences of the Managing Director of the online store that found that many shoppers from the physical stores were using the online format (a more cost effective method) for customer service enquiries. Another significant indicator of adoption intention was the perceived difficulty of transporting bought goods for consumers. While the correlation did not show a significant value, an examination of the responses revealed that though the numbers were small, for those for whom transporting their groceries was perceived as difficult, there was a strong trend towards favourable adoption intention.

The control variables, were found to correlate very strongly with EGS adoption intention (r=0.473 and r=0.547 respectively), increasing the comparability of this study with others in the same area. Since the results in the control area are consistent, it could be reasonably expected that the responses from this sample are consistent with those in this research area.

The results from this study suggest that social factors will play a part, and in some areas, an important part, in a consumer’s decision to adopt an EGS service. This is evidenced by the overall relationship between the variables and adoption intention, and also the relationship between individual items, and adoption intention.

Unexpectedly, socio demographic details were not found to play a large part in this decision process. In particular, the attributes that have in the past been strongly linked to adoption intention, such as age and gender, were shown to have only a weak relationship with overall intention, despite showing a fluctuating influence on individual factors. This may be different with a different sample of respondents, given that this sample was largely based around the university community. Recent literature has suggested that the online shopping community demographic is changing to become more diverse, and these findings appear to support this theory. Past studies, which have found that larger households were more likely to have favourable intentions towards shopping online (Crisp et al. 1997), were not consistent with the results from this study, which found household size not to be significantly related to adoption intention.

Favourable adoption intentions were found for those individuals who dislike grocery shopping and those who experience difficulty with transportation to the grocery store.

Previous online and technological experience was found to be a significant indicator of future online shopping intentions. The sample in this study had a high proportion of technologically literate individuals, in relation to the general community. Close to 100% of the sample indicated that they had a computer at home, and all had Internet access of some kind.

6.         Conclusion and research contribution

This study has evidenced the presence of a number of online shopping trends in the online grocery market. Social factors that have been shown to be factors in the adoption of online shopping in general have been found to have a significant influence of adoption inclination of EGS. By adding to this research area, implications become apparent for both the academic and commercial bodies of information concerning this topic.

The relatively small relationship between sense of community and adoption inclination for consumers suggests that production efforts should be concentrated in other areas when constructing an online grocery store at this stage of the adoption cycle. In the future, as adoption becomes more widespread and the target market expands, these features will need to be added to increase market share. For the moment, however, it appears that the issues of perception of innovators and shopping enjoyment are the aspects of the social experience that will attract consumers to EGS.

It is important to note that while social factors will play a part in a consumer’s decision to adopt EGS, there are other factors that may be equally or more important, but that are not addressed by this study.

The implications of these findings for the retail community, are that consumers are in a position to adopt EGS, and can see it in their future, but require a greater incentive at present, to change their lifestyle, regardless of whether or not it will be beneficial in the longer term. Raijas (2002) found that consumers are set in their grocery shopping routine, and do not calculate the cost of time spent shopping or transportation when using their own cars. It would seem that at this stage there is not enough motivation for the majority of consumers to make the switch.

The conclusion from these findings is that social factors play a part in the EGS adoption intentions of consumers. The importance of these social factors will vary across consumer groups based on technological experience, and this is consistent with findings in past studies concerning similar online spaces. These findings contribute to the online shopping research area by addressing the issue of social factors in the adoption of EGS systems. Previously in this area the adoption intentions of consumers have been addressed through issues such as delivery, security and cost. These issues may have been the most important in the initial stages of the technology cycle, but as access becomes widespread and adoption increases, looking at factors outside of these initial adoption hurdles is becoming increasingly important.

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